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2024-12-13 05:49:26

Support is necessary at this stage, but the strength is weakening. Just like the trend of these days, the big index stocks have to come forward to protect the market, because it is far from enough to support the market by relying on a securities sector alone. Since the big index stocks are pulled up, let's just draw the bow.Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.Because A-shares often support the market, big index stocks have not gone up less. When we look at the increase of big index stocks and small and medium-sized stocks together, they are basically the same, both at a relatively high level. In this way, big index stocks are even less dominant. Banks have gone up for 10 years, and oil and coal have gone up for four years. These small and medium-sized stocks have only gone up for more than a month, but the increase is relatively large, so there is no basis for size conversion, that is,


A-shares have gone out of the upward trend today, but the heat of the market has not improved, and the wait-and-see mood is relatively strong. Then why should the main force continue to pull up the market index, whether to start the second wave of market, or to change the size, or to pull up and attract more? On these three questions, I said my own point of view.In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.During this period, the first two major players were not smooth. Even if they were promoted personally, the effect was not obvious. Finally, they let go of the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks, first boosted their own stocks, and then activated the market through the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks, and guided the funds to the big index stocks. Overall, the effect was not obvious.


Tuesday's rally is a reaction to the big bull market. When we look back and carefully observe the trend of the 924 market, it is always inseparable from the bull market, especially the protection of the market by favorable policies. Generally, it is not necessary to do this in a normal bull market. With the continuous influx of funds, we can complete the rise and all the necessary distances in the rising process.Today, the three sisters of A-shares jointly pull up A-shares again, which is a ship pulled for the expectation of RMB depreciation. Because it is a shrinkage increase, especially A50, the shrinkage increase after the heavy volume drop is reflected in A-shares, that is, pulling up the external market with a small amount of funds to affect the A-share market.At present, A-shares have basically returned to the situation in April and May after the Spring Festival, and the main force is trying to pull up and hit a new high from time to time, mainly to stabilize the confidence of shareholders.

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